Researchers from the European Central Bank, European Stability Mechanism, and Universität Bonn propose a new forecasting method called parametric tilting that helps economists incorporate new ...

Kalshi says it's more than just betting and that it offers high-quality forecasts. Now, a research paper from a group of Federal Reserve economists is backing that up. The researchers found that ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

Financial forecasting is the act of estimating future financial outcomes for a business or an investment. It is a critical process in financial planning and decision-making. It employs statistical ...

Time series econometrics and forecasting constitute a dynamic research area that combines sophisticated statistical methodologies with economic theory to model, interpret and predict economic and ...

Planning for the future has never been as vital — nor as daunting — as it is today. The past five years have demonstrated just how tumultuous the construction industry can be – from supply chain ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

Economic growth in Uzbekistan is expected to reach around 7% in 2026. The main contributing factors are cited as business activity, monetary and financial systems, banking operations, industrial ...

Kalshi may be good for more than just making a quick buck. A new research paper published by a trio of Federal Reserve economists suggests that the prediction market platform is a useful method for ...